Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Call or email your Congressman, Republican or Democrat

We don't need an ego trip, we need health care. Obama is the first legislation towards catching up with the rest of the industrial world.
 It's still a baby, that needs changed annually.

We have a start, we don't need to waste time replacing it every time there is someone new in the Oval Office who wants the credit.    

We have a health care plan, look at it every year and make changes (corrections) needed. I keep saying this will need to continue for
at least a decade before we get it right, not counting the years the changes made don't work the way congress thought it would.

This isn't Democrat or Republican, it isn't Obama or Trump. It's still our country, politicians need to work together, which is only going to
happen is if the Americans, (If you aren't registered to vote, you can either let your neighbors make decisions for you or register, it's
easy)  call your congressman, when they find that regardless of party, the people are asking for the same thing.

Our government is in a mess, the only people who can fix it are We The People.
 

Friday, March 24, 2017

Trump Again Sorry not good with computers, This is less than one page, but somehow I made it repeat several times

A friend wants to buy a new car. I mentioned Honda. She said she didn't like buying foreign cars. I responded, "they're made in Kentucky." "Yes, but they get the money." I don't care if a few people who already have more money than they can spend, get more, what I care about is a thousand Americans earning a steady pay check to support their families, which helps support the grocery store, gas station, you get the idea.  

A while back Trump claimed Chancellor Angela Merkel ruined Germany by allowing a million refugees into the country. Merkel allowed a million people in because Germany needed workers. It's like Mexican's coming to our country and picking crops. Jobs Americans won't do.

Trump's ranting has stopped many people from crossing the border. Good people who will pick our crops. If crops rot on the vines because there aren't enough pickers, the price of the crops that do get picked will go sky high.  In a few months when prices at the grocery store begin rising, blame it on Trump.

Trump's kids told him they need crop pickers from south of the border to pick the grapes in Trump's wine business. 

The drug dealers will continue to cross despite Trump's rants, his wall, or more border patrols. There are millions in the drug trade and other illegal activities to be made. Trump should understand, it's business.   

The President of the United States doesn't have time to twitter. There are better uses of his time than claiming Obama wire tapped him. Who cares, why does he care? The election is over he won. Obama is out enjoying life, at least for the moment, it looks like he's done with politics.    

 

A friend wants to buy a new car. I mentioned Honda. She said she didn't like buying foreign cars. I responded, "they're made in Kentucky." "Yes, but they get the money." I don't care if a few people who already have more money than they can spend, get more, what I care about is a thousand Americans earning a steady pay check to support their families, which helps support the grocery store, gas station, you get the idea.  

A while back Trump claimed Chancellor Angela Merkel ruined Germany by allowing a million refugees into the country. Merkel allowed a million people in because Germany needed workers. It's like Mexican's coming to our country and picking crops. Jobs Americans won't do.

Trump's ranting has stopped many people from crossing the border. Good people who will pick our crops. If crops rot on the vines because there aren't enough pickers, the price of the crops that do get picked will go sky high.  In a few months when prices at the grocery store begin rising, blame it on Trump.

Trump's kids told him they need crop pickers from south of the border to pick the grapes in Trump's wine business. 

The drug dealers will continue to cross despite Trump's rants, his wall, or more border patrols. There are millions in the drug trade and other illegal activities to be made. Trump should understand, it's business.   

The President of the United States doesn't have time to twitter. There are better uses of his time than claiming Obama wire tapped him. Who cares, why does he care? The election is over he won. Obama is out enjoying life, at least for the moment, it looks like he's done with politics.    

 

A friend wants to buy a new car. I mentioned Honda. She said she didn't like buying foreign cars. I responded, "they're made in Kentucky." "Yes, but they get the money." I don't care if a few people who already have more money than they can spend, get more, what I care about is a thousand Americans earning a steady pay check to support their families, which helps support the grocery store, gas station, you get the idea.  

A while back Trump claimed Chancellor Angela Merkel ruined Germany by allowing a million refugees into the country. Merkel allowed a million people in because Germany needed workers. It's like Mexican's coming to our country and picking crops. Jobs Americans won't do.

Trump's ranting has stopped many people from crossing the border. Good people who will pick our crops. If crops rot on the vines because there aren't enough pickers, the price of the crops that do get picked will go sky high.  In a few months when prices at the grocery store begin rising, blame it on Trump.

Trump's kids told him they need crop pickers from south of the border to pick the grapes in Trump's wine business. 

The drug dealers will continue to cross despite Trump's rants, his wall, or more border patrols. There are millions in the drug trade and other illegal activities to be made. Trump should understand, it's business.   

The President of the United States doesn't have time to twitter. There are better uses of his time than claiming Obama wire tapped him. Who cares, why does he care? The election is over he won. Obama is out enjoying life, at least for the moment, it looks like he's done with politics.    

 

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Research to write a historical fiction book

I'm researching as preparation for writing a Historical Fiction. The following is the historical part. Fiction comes later when I give the characters a voice.

The first research I shared was the family trying to cross the Ohio river with the intension of settling there. However, the Indians weren't happy about these want-a-be intruders. To keep them out the Indians crossed the Ohio into Virginia (today's West Virginia) and murdered as many as they could. 

This research is about the Civil War and five brothers who fought. I put more detail on my face book because the story is about my family. Thanks to face book and ancestry there are around three hundred cousins reading my face book.

My next research will be in the early 1900's about coal miners, unions, strikes, strike breakers, and the fire that broke the strike.

The Civil War was from April 12, 1861 to May 9, 1865

Thomas joined the Union Army first, but only stayed three months. I can only assume he was wounded, he wasn't killed because he died an old man in 1910.  Christopher served in Co D, 31st Ohio Infantry from Feb 14, 1864 until 10 Nov 1864. His brother Henry joined him on May 2, 1864. James and Thomas soon followed. 

They didn't join because it was their duty as Americans, nor did they fight to free the slaves. None of them had ever seen a black person. If you ask them what a slave was they would say it was like going down into a dark coal mine six days a week for a stingy coal company.

The war was a long way from Perry County, Ohio. The citizens knew little about the war. It was three years into the war before they found out for sure the country was at war. Being so far away, no one feared the fighting would ever get anywhere near them.

On 3 March 1863, the United States Congress (the North) began a draft. Finding able bodied men to draft in the cities wasn't hard, it was places referred to as the backwoods that caused a problem.

In the 1860's you couldn't check the phone book. Phones hadn't been invented. Cars wouldn't be invented until two or three decades after the war. Besides no driver's license. There were no social security numbers, because it didn't come along until the 1930's.

Babies were born at home, if the courthouse was less than a day's buggy ride the parents likely made the trip to fill out a birth certificate.  

The Department of the Army, Congress, and President Lincoln figured out they had a problem. They couldn't draft only city men. The answer was, when a man's draft number was drawn they could pay someone else to go in your place.

I don't know where $300 came from, but it became the going rate. To our boys, in Perry County, Ohio, it was more than a year's pay. I assume they also drew the Army pay of $11 to $13 a month. If they lasted a year, the pay plus the $300 would equal nearly 2 years pay.

Men who someone paid to go in their place were call Pay Soldiers. Christopher was the first Pay Soldier in his family. I'm sure his brothers were as well. There was no other reason for any of them to go to war except for the money. In the mines, they were making nearly twenty dollars a month.  

If you live or spend any time in the south, you will find Civil War reenactments everywhere. Should you ask one of the actors about Yankee Pay Soldiers, they will tell you that these men would sign the enlistment papers, collect the $300, go AWOL. Then go to a recruiting office in another town and get another $300. 

I'm sure there were con men like the Confederates describe, but of the 2,100,000 soldiers who actually served 42,000 were drafted, while 126,000 were pay soldiers.

Christopher served from Feb. 14, 1864 to Nov. 10, 1864. He saw action at Kenesaw Mountain GA, Peach Tree Creek, GA, Atlanta, Chickamauga, GA. In short, his regiment was following Sherman to the sea.

James was hard to sort out. He was in the 63rd, 89th, as well as the 31st Regiment. I've listed Christopher's actions in the 31st. James must have taken part in some if not all the same battles.

There seems to be a time when the Army didn't know where James was. A ringing in the back of my head says he took Christopher home. It makes sense, it's a long walk from Georgia to Ohio, a hard walk if you are wounded.  

That ringing tells me Christopher was shot in the hip, leaving him with a lifelong limp. What I know for sure is he took three volleys in his left shoulder. Most of the south was using the 1853 Enfield Musket which fired mini balls.

An Enfield Musket would kill you if it hit you in the right place. Christopher's step-daughter, who also became his daughter-in-law, only referred to him as Mean Man or Old Mean Man. That plus other things I've learned about him, I believe Christopher got his wounds dressed, then started walking back to Ohio.

I am only using one Regiment, for the following. All other regiments have pretty much the same numbers. The 62nd Regiment reported 113 men killed in action while 131 were killed by disease.  

Years later, Christopher's grandson liked sitting on his lap, putting his little fingers in the three holes left by the mini balls that wounded him. True story, because that grandson grew up to be my father.  

Henry was in Company E, 155th Regiment, Ohio, Infantry. His was also one of the Regiments following Sherman to the sea.

That leaves Thomas J. I have no information including a date of death, leaving the possibility that he was killed. I did find a Jacob, same last name in the 197th Inf., leaving me to wonder if the J in Thomas J stood for Jacob. A lot of people go by their middle name. The family name is Slatzer, ever since the first of the family landed on these shores in the 1700's the spelling of their name has been mangled.

 

Monday, March 13, 2017

This came from Kathy, If you like it, give her a shout out, she's a faceful reader on this facebook. We've been friends for 61 years. (We were teenagers when we met, just don't ask either of us our age.)
Men Are Just Happier PeopleMen Are Just Happier People
What do you expect from such simple creatures?
Your last name stays put. The garage is yours.
Wedding plans take care of themselves. Chocolate is just another snack.
You can never be pregnant.
You can wear a white T-shirt to a water park or you can wear NO shirt to a water park.
Car mechanics tell you the truth.
The world is your urinal. You never have to drive to another gas station restroom because this one is just too icky.
You don't have to stop and think of which way to turn a nut on a bolt.
Same work, more pay.
Wrinkles add character.
Wedding dress $5000. Tux rental-$100.
People never stare at your chest when you're talking to them.
New shoes don't cut, blister, or mangle your feet.
One mood all the time.
Phone conversations end in 30 seconds flat.
A five-day vacation requires only one suitcase.
You can open all your own jars.
You get extra credit for the slightest act of thoughtfulness.
If someone forgets to invite you, he or she can still be your friend.
Your underwear is $8.95 for a three-pack.
Two pairs of shoes are more than enough.
You never have strap problems in public.
You are unable to see wrinkles in your clothes. Everything on your face stays its original color. The same hairstyle lasts for years, maybe decades.
You only have to shave your face and neck. You can play with toys all your life.
One wallet and one pair of shoes - one color for all seasons.
You can wear shorts no matter how your legs look.
You can 'do' your nails with a pocket knife.
You have freedom of choice concerning growing a mustache.
You can do Christmas shopping for 25 relatives on December 24 in 25 minutes.
No wonder men are happier.
NICKNAMES If Laura, Kate and Sarah go out for lunch, they will call each other Laura, Kate and Sarah.
If Mike, Dave and John go out, they affectionately refer to each other as Fat Boy, Bubba and Wildman.
EATING OUT
When the bill arrives, Mike, Dave and John willeach throw in $20, even though it's only for $32.50. None of them have anything smaller and none admit they want change back.
When the girls get their bill,out come the pocket calculators.
MONEY
A man will pay $2 for a $1 item he needs.
A woman will pay $1 for a $2 item that she doesn't need but it's on sale.
BATHROOMS
A man has six items in his bathroom: toothbrush, toothpaste, shaving cream, razor, a bar of soap, and a towel.
The average number of items in the typical woman's bathroom is 337. A man would not be able to identify more than 20 of these items.
ARGUMENTS
A woman has the last word in any argument.
Anything a man says after that is the beginning of a new argument.
FUTURE
A woman worries about the future until she gets a husband.
A man never worries about the future until he gets a wife.
MARRIAGE
A woman marries a man expecting he will change, but he doesn't.
A man marries a woman expecting that she won't change, but she does.
DRESSING UP
A woman will dress up to go shopping, water the plants, empty the trash, answer the phone, read a book, and get the mail.
A man will dress up for weddings and funerals.
NATURAL
Men wake up looking the same.
Women somehow deteriorate during the night.
CHILDREN
A woman knows all about her children. She knows about dentist appointments, romances, best friends, favorite foods, secret fears, hopes, and dreams.
A man is vaguely aware of some short people living in the house.
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY
A married man should forget his mistakes. There's
no use in two people remembering the same thing!
What do you expect from such simple creatures?
Your last name stays put. The garage is yours.
Wedding plans take care of themselves. Chocolate is just another snack.
You can never be pregnant.
You can wear a white T-shirt to a water park or you can wear NO shirt to a water park.
Car mechanics tell you the truth.
The world is your urinal. You never have to drive to another gas station restroom because this one is just too icky.
You don't have to stop and think of which way to turn a nut on a bolt.
Same work, more pay.
Wrinkles add character.
Wedding dress $5000. Tux rental-$100.
People never stare at your chest when you're talking to them.
New shoes don't cut, blister, or mangle your feet.
One mood all the time.
Phone conversations end in 30 seconds flat.
A five-day vacation requires only one suitcase.
You can open all your own jars.
You get extra credit for the slightest act of thoughtfulness.
If someone forgets to invite you, he or she can still be your friend.
Your underwear is $8.95 for a three-pack.
Two pairs of shoes are more than enough.
You never have strap problems in public.
You are unable to see wrinkles in your clothes. Everything on your face stays its original color. The same hairstyle lasts for years, maybe decades.
You only have to shave your face and neck. You can play with toys all your life.
One wallet and one pair of shoes - one color for all seasons.
You can wear shorts no matter how your legs look.
You can 'do' your nails with a pocket knife.
You have freedom of choice concerning growing a mustache.
You can do Christmas shopping for 25 relatives on December 24 in 25 minutes.
No wonder men are happier.
NICKNAMES If Laura, Kate and Sarah go out for lunch, they will call each other Laura, Kate and Sarah.
If Mike, Dave and John go out, they affectionately refer to each other as Fat Boy, Bubba and Wildman.
EATING OUT
When the bill arrives, Mike, Dave and John willeach throw in $20, even though it's only for $32.50. None of them have anything smaller and none admit they want change back.
When the girls get their bill,out come the pocket calculators.
MONEY
A man will pay $2 for a $1 item he needs.
A woman will pay $1 for a $2 item that she doesn't need but it's on sale.
BATHROOMS
A man has six items in his bathroom: toothbrush, toothpaste, shaving cream, razor, a bar of soap, and a towel.
The average number of items in the typical woman's bathroom is 337. A man would not be able to identify more than 20 of these items.
ARGUMENTS
A woman has the last word in any argument.
Anything a man says after that is the beginning of a new argument.
FUTURE
A woman worries about the future until she gets a husband.
A man never worries about the future until he gets a wife.
MARRIAGE
A woman marries a man expecting he will change, but he doesn't.
A man marries a woman expecting that she won't change, but she does.
DRESSING UP
A woman will dress up to go shopping, water the plants, empty the trash, answer the phone, read a book, and get the mail.
A man will dress up for weddings and funerals.
NATURAL
Men wake up looking the same.
Women somehow deteriorate during the night.
CHILDREN
A woman knows all about her children. She knows about dentist appointments, romances, best friends, favorite foods, secret fears, hopes, and dreams.
A man is vaguely aware of some short people living in the house.
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY
A married man should forget his mistakes. There's
no use in two people remembering the same thing!

Thursday, March 9, 2017

Health Care, something we needed for a long time, Obama Care gave us something, because we needed anything. It is complicated getting a plan that will fit all. In Washington, only a fool would think Obama Care wouldn't need tweeking every year for at least a decade.
Trump and his party are wasting time reinventing the wheel, rather than making changes to Obama care. Their goal is to say it's their plan.
Jobs, In Feb we had over 20,000 new jobs, Does anyone think Trump did this in less than 30 days. Duh, It's the fruit of Obama and the Democrates work. It happens everytime the Oval Office changes parties. Democrates do it to Republicans, Republicans do it to Democrates. Although for the first time we have Trump, who is all about me, me, me.
Wall, On a telephone town hall meeting with Florida Republican Rep Posey, the idoits are still talking about a wall. It will help keep people looking for a better life out, but drug dealers have got a lot of money waiting on our side, a wall, as I have said all along, they will go over it, under it, or through it. They will get their drugs to the U.S.

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Scary and exciting:

1.  The FUTURE is approaching faster than one can
 handle!

 In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.

Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt.

What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years and, most people won't see it coming.

Did you think in 1998 that
3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?

  Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975.
  The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore 's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few
short years. It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.

Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age.

  2.  Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

3.  Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.

  4.  Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.

5.  Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

6. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM's Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy
  when done by humans.

  So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only omniscient specialists will remain.

6A.  Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more accurate than human nurses.

  7.  Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

8.Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it,
you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving.

The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.

8A. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that.   We can transform former
parking spaces into parks.

1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million mi (10 million Km).  That will save a million lives worldwide each year.

8B. Most car companies will doubtless become
bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the
evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

8C.  Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.

9. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

 10. Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.

 11. Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

12. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.

 13. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.

14. With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if
anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

15.  Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star
Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and your breath
into it.

 16. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free. Goodbye, self-serving medical practitioners and establishments.

17. 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer
came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years.
In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All
major shoe companies have already started 3D
printing shoes.

 18.  Some spare airplane parts are already 3D
 printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.

19.At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D
 scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.

19A. In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-storey office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.

 20. Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, first ask yourself: "In the future, do I think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?

20A. If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea. Any idea designed for success in the 20th
century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.

20B. Work:70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a short time.This will require a rethink on wealth distribution.

21. Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural
robot in the future.  Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead
of working all day on their fields.

 22.Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018.  Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.  Imagine if we don't need that space anymore.

23. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).

24.There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you're in.  By 2020 there
will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if
you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's
being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they're not - it will ultimately compel all politicians to be truthful (a truly unique & novel
occurrence).

25. BY 2020 (or sooner - some might suggest this is happening now) WHAT A UNIVERSITY STUDENT LEARNS IN THE FIRST YEAR OF A THREE-YEAR DEGREE - WILL BE IRRELEVANT AND REDUNDANT BY THE TIME THE THIRD YEAR IS COMPLETED!


Scary and exciting: 

1.  The FUTURE is approaching faster than one can
 handle!

 In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.

Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt.

What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years and, most people won't see it coming.

Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?

  Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975.
  The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore 's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few
short years. It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.

Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age.

  2.  Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

3.  Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.

  4.  Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.

5.  Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

6. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM's Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy
  when done by humans.

  So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only omniscient specialists will remain.

6A.  Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more accurate than human nurses.

  7.  Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

8.Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it,
you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving.

The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.

8A. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that.   We can transform former
parking spaces into parks.

1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million mi (10 million Km).  That will save a million lives worldwide each year.

8B. Most car companies will doubtless become
bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the
evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

8C.  Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.

9. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

 10. Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.

 11. Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

12. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.

 13. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.

14. With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if
anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

15.  Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star
Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and your breath
into it.

 16. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free. Goodbye, self-serving medical practitioners and establishments.

17. 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer
came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years.
In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All
major shoe companies have already started 3D
printing shoes.

 18.  Some spare airplane parts are already 3D
 printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.

19.At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D
 scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.

19A. In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-storey office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.

 20. Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, first ask yourself: "In the future, do I think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?

20A. If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea. Any idea designed for success in the 20th
century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.

20B. Work:70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a short time.This will require a rethink on wealth distribution.

21. Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural
robot in the future.  Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead
of working all day on their fields.

 22.Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018.  Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.  Imagine if we don't need that space anymore.

23. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).

24.There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you're in.  By 2020 there
will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if
you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's
being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they're not - it will ultimately compel all politicians to be truthful (a truly unique & novel
occurrence).

25. BY 2020 (or sooner - some might suggest this is happening now) WHAT A UNIVERSITY STUDENT LEARNS IN THE FIRST YEAR OF A THREE-YEAR DEGREE - WILL BE IRRELEVANT AND REDUNDANT BY THE TIME THE THIRD YEAR IS COMPLETED!




Monday, March 6, 2017

Mystery Forum at Cocoa Beach

It was great. Four of us spoke. The audience had many comments and questions. Great discussions. Don't miss the next one in May. It is worth your time whether you are a writer, a reader, or both.

Friday, March 3, 2017

All My Florida Friends

Tomorrow, Saturday, March 4th, from 10 am until noon there will be a mystery forum at the Cocoa Beach Library. I will be on the forum. Stop in anytime during those two hours.Early birds get coffee and cookies. Hope to see you there.